Trade in Commodities and Business Cycle Volatility

نویسندگان

چکیده

This paper studies the role of differences in patterns production and international trade on business cycle volatility emerging developed economies. We study a multisector small open economy which firms produce commodities manufactures. estimate model to match key cross-sectional time-series across countries. Emerging economies run surpluses deficits manufactures, while sectoral flows are balanced find that these amplify response commodity price fluctuations. show evidence consistent with this mechanism using cross-country data. (JEL E23, E32, F14, F41, F44)

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Business Cycle Synchronization and Patterns of Trade: Cases from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

 Do similarities in trade patterns of GCC countries (UAE, KSA, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman), which are geographically and politically alike and also enjoy oil income, affect the synchronization of their business cycles and make them have similar booms and busts? In this paper, we attempt to connect these two features and explore this question. Using various estimation methods (Common Corre...

متن کامل

Policy Issues in International Trade and Commodities

Note The purpose of this series of studies is to analyse policy issues and to stimulate discussions in the area of international trade and development. The series includes studies by UNCTAD staff and by distinguished researchers from other organizations and academia. This paper represents the personal views of the author only, and not the views of the UNCTAD secretariat or its member States. Th...

متن کامل

Commodities and International Business Cycles

Output growth in the U.S., a commodity-importing country, increases its demand for imports of commodities and therefore commodity prices, which benefits commodityexporting countries but has adverse effects on commodity-importing countries. Hence, in the data, U.S. output is more positively correlated with outputs of commodity-exporting countries than commodity-importing countries. In other word...

متن کامل

Business cycle volatility and economic growth: a reassessment

This paper forms part of the ESRC funded project (Award No. L1382511013) " Business Cycle Volatility and Economic Growth: A Comparative Time Series Study " , which itself is part of the Understanding the Evolving Macroeconomy Research programme.

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1945-7707', '1945-7715']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20180131